Thursday Night Football: Texans vs. Jets Betting Preview (Odds, Lines, and Best Bets)

Thursday Night Football Betting Preview: Texans vs. Jets

Prop Bet Pick: RB Joe Mixon, Texans — Over 20.5 Carries
Since Nico Collins’s injury in Week 5, Houston has leaned heavily on its run game, moving into the top 10 in run-play percentage (42.8%). With further injuries in the receiving corps, expect Mixon’s workload to increase as the Texans rely on the ground game.

Record Update
2024 Betting Record through Week 8: 18-20 (47.4%) — -1.8 units.

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Game Overview: Texans vs. Jets (-1.5) [Total: 42]

In Week 9’s Thursday Night Football, the Jets host the Texans in a game where both teams are grappling with adversity. The Jets enter this game struggling to break a five-game losing streak, both straight-up and against the spread. Their primetime struggles are notable; New York has only covered in one of their last four primetime games, with their only win coming in Week 3 against the Patriots.

Offensively, the Jets rank near the bottom of the league during this losing streak, with poor metrics in expected points per play and overall team offense grade (69.2). First-quarter performance has been particularly weak, placing 31st in EPA per play, 28th in yards per play, and last in turnovers. Although quarterback Aaron Rodgers has a solid overall grade, he ranks last in first-quarter passing grade (46.5), adding to the slow starts.

The Texans, on the other hand, have shown resilience, covering the spread in three of their four October games after a tough September. While their offense has been hit by injuries, notably to Nico Collins and, recently, Stefon Diggs (ACL), they’ve shifted focus to playmakers Tank Dell and Dalton Schultz. Houston’s defense has been instrumental, applying consistent pressure on opposing offenses. Over their past three games, they’ve recorded 67 pressures and the NFL’s third-highest knockdown rate (19.5%).